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This is not a post about awakening, non-duality or emptiness, but the planet, global warming, and the levels of consciousness in spiral dynamics. But why do I post this here? Because pure land is not another dimension or universe away. This very world, this very planet is our pure land. Everywhere, perfect purity, beauty and goodness can be found, all a perfect display of our radiance and Presence, if only we see and hear with pure vision. Instead, earthlings perceive the world in terms of dualism, self and other, subject and object, possessor and possessed, exploiter and exploited, hopes and fears, friends and enemies.
Like an apple tree that apples, this planet is the land that peoples, and manifest Buddhas. To grow apples, we have to protect and nurture the apple tree. To grow Buddhas, we have to protect and nurture our pure land. Please appreciate our seamless dependencies and wholeness and act accordingly. Our benefits should never be sought at the expense or detriment of the rest of the planet, otherwise we become like viruses destroying the host, killing ourselves in the process. Realise that a wave is never separate from the entire ocean like an apple is never separate from the rest of the apple tree, the welfare of all is the welfare of ourselves and vice versa. Our actions are the activity of the universe and vibrates as and throughout the universe.
Statements that used to be called "alarmist" now looks increasingly likely to be our destiny. The science is becoming increasingly clear this year: we have falsely assumed a purely linear increase in global temperatures when in truth the situation is far worse than that -- we might be on a somewhat exponential curve, and the world is on the verge of triggering a cascade of natural 'feedback loops' that will increase temperatures drastically. In other words, we are on course for runaway climate change as a result of natural feedback loops including methane release from the arctic permafrost triggering further releases, bringing catastrophic collapse of the ecosystem. This is the sixth mass extinction that could very well see the extinction of humanity in decades to come, if very strong actions and interventions are not taken on time. Sacrifices need to be made (perhaps, to our standard of living). Governments should mobilize resources to support green causes and we should support governments that have our long term welfare in their agenda. A mass planetary awakening is necessary for our survival. The three institutional poisons of collective greed, ill will and delusion needs to be addressed.
Without a collective awakening, there is a real possibility that humanity will cease to exist 100 years from now.
......
Interesting
https://www.newshub.co.nz/…/scientists-secretly-believe-we-…
https://www.straight.com/…/could-abrupt-climate-change-lead…
<— I initially dismissed this guy as an alarmist nut job for predicting the extinction of humanity by 2026 until I read the following articles which seems to confirm some of Guy’s statements, so maybe there is a basis for such a thing to happen but I’m not sure about the timeline:
https://truthout.org/…/release-of-arctic-methane-may-be-ap…/
https://www.theguardian.com/…/7-facts-need-to-know-arctic-m…
https://siberiantimes.com/…/n0760-arctic-methane-gas-emiss…/
(update: I think Guy McPherson is an alarmist for setting a dateline to our 'extinction', but his conclusions about our trajectory and outcomes are actually based on sound science and research, except the date is speculation and may be off)
https://www.newshub.co.nz/…/scientists-secretly-believe-we-…
https://www.straight.com/…/could-abrupt-climate-change-lead…
<— I initially dismissed this guy as an alarmist nut job for predicting the extinction of humanity by 2026 until I read the following articles which seems to confirm some of Guy’s statements, so maybe there is a basis for such a thing to happen but I’m not sure about the timeline:
https://truthout.org/…/release-of-arctic-methane-may-be-ap…/
https://www.theguardian.com/…/7-facts-need-to-know-arctic-m…
https://siberiantimes.com/…/n0760-arctic-methane-gas-emiss…/
(update: I think Guy McPherson is an alarmist for setting a dateline to our 'extinction', but his conclusions about our trajectory and outcomes are actually based on sound science and research, except the date is speculation and may be off)
Shared by Malcolm Smith
nymag.com
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Soh Wei Yu Not
all climate Scientists agree to the projection though. But might be too
late for people to realise if the worst case scenario is true. For
myself, I don’t know, im no climate expert. Open to various
possibilities. Maybe make some mental preparations.
Soh Wei Yu shared a link.
bbc.com
Researchers warn that even limited climate warming could trigger conditions…
Comments
https://www.facebook.com/YearsOfLiving/videos/230976200951887/?hc_ref=ARRgxSrsPv-WeEmEUjAEC7JhE8hGj8bCFzJVr5nkQyP-4c4dy4sMFi_PEtBRiKBsdz4&__xts__%5B0%5D=68.ARBb_Oeag6h40dH3dHzNY3mjqCay8s2e0N7hi92nYCT-3r0q9wXppSyddnLfXe8a_E0XuvLtm4dN_S4XqROwVM5T2JzX35xZn3J038jpR8LRwbaPhr-Oco2wKBnDVoXUFhuXwlMD3lAg-iU-LK8p9R39rfvjSjVcabkf52sunv7FrFPP55GhtYA&__tn__=FC-R
Much
sooner than expected. “Experts said dangerous climate change was almost
“inevitable” and the planet was on the brink of a “tipping point” as
thawing permafrost releases large volumes of carbon dioxide and methane
into the atmosphere, causing temperatures to rise and more permafrost to
melt.”
Comments
Junnies Jun Yang from
what i understand, the climate system is far too difficult to model,
and our climate models (which the man-made global warming hypothesis
entirely hinges upon because models are scientists' guess at how the
climate system works, and its validity extends to evidence-gathering, hypothesis-testing, predictions, etc) are entirely incapable of properly modeling the climate.
you can see the ineptitude of the climate models by the fact that all of them are wrong, have wildly different projections, have no track record for accuracy, are constantly updated (new, unknown variables are constantly discovered and inputed), and the chaotic, complex nature of the climate means that slight errors in input can lead to wildly different outcomes
you can see the ineptitude of the climate models by the fact that all of them are wrong, have wildly different projections, have no track record for accuracy, are constantly updated (new, unknown variables are constantly discovered and inputed), and the chaotic, complex nature of the climate means that slight errors in input can lead to wildly different outcomes
Soh Wei Yu Yes
it is very hard to model climate change. However, a general consensus
is coming out this year taking into account the latest and newest
research in climate science that paints a better picture of where we are
heading, and it's not looking pretty. It
paints a very dire picture -- a rather catastrophic one where our very
existence as a species may be under threat not in centuries or
generations to come, but in our very lifetime, perhaps 30, 20 or 10
years.
And even the U.N. has this to say just last week, http://time.com/5392283/united-nations-climate-change/
'(UNITED NATIONS) — Secretary-General Antonio Guterres warned Monday that the world is facing “a direct existential threat” and must rapidly shift from dependence on fossil fuels by 2020 to prevent “runaway climate change.”
“If we do not change course by 2020, we risk missing the point where we can avoid runaway climate change, with disastrous consequences for people and all the natural systems that sustain us,” Guterres warned.'
Can humanity avoid catastrophe and extinction? I don't know, but looking at the general apathy and unwillingness of governments to address this issue, our future looks grim.
ManageAnd even the U.N. has this to say just last week, http://time.com/5392283/united-nations-climate-change/
'(UNITED NATIONS) — Secretary-General Antonio Guterres warned Monday that the world is facing “a direct existential threat” and must rapidly shift from dependence on fossil fuels by 2020 to prevent “runaway climate change.”
“If we do not change course by 2020, we risk missing the point where we can avoid runaway climate change, with disastrous consequences for people and all the natural systems that sustain us,” Guterres warned.'
Can humanity avoid catastrophe and extinction? I don't know, but looking at the general apathy and unwillingness of governments to address this issue, our future looks grim.
Junnies Jun Yang the
thing is, the current man-made global warming hypothesis hinges upon
the fact that climate scientists have a sufficient understanding to
pinpoint that it is man-made greenhouse emissions that is the cause.
as we know, man-made greenhouse emission contribution is a fraction of total greenhouse gas emission. the validity of their claim thereby hinges upon this idea of a 'feedback' mechanism whereby a small input leads to a drastic outcome. but of course, given how sensitive climate models are to small errors in data input, it seems like the climate-change hypothesis is just a wild guess backed by no real evidence.
one also has to take into account the myriad of factors involved in climate change - solar cycles, planetary orbits, etc. it is so difficult to understand how the climate works once one understands how complex it is, that i personally am very skeptical of any claims that claim to be 'evidence-based', or scientifically proven
as we know, man-made greenhouse emission contribution is a fraction of total greenhouse gas emission. the validity of their claim thereby hinges upon this idea of a 'feedback' mechanism whereby a small input leads to a drastic outcome. but of course, given how sensitive climate models are to small errors in data input, it seems like the climate-change hypothesis is just a wild guess backed by no real evidence.
one also has to take into account the myriad of factors involved in climate change - solar cycles, planetary orbits, etc. it is so difficult to understand how the climate works once one understands how complex it is, that i personally am very skeptical of any claims that claim to be 'evidence-based', or scientifically proven
Soh Wei Yu When
the house is burning down, it's not time to be arguing but doing
something drastic to turn things around. I'm afraid we will not take the
necessary steps to avert disaster in time.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=YsA3PK8bQd8
Managehttps://www.youtube.com/watch?v=YsA3PK8bQd8
Junnies Jun Yang if
there were minimal costs associated toward cutting back on greenhouse
emissions, there will be little opportunity cost to do so even if the
entirely hypothesis is wrong. but to implement the action plans
suggested by climate scientists will actually entail massive costs.
for instance, is it a worthwhile trade off to delay the lifting of hundreds of millions of people living in poverty, in order to introduce the measures required to cut down on greenhouse emissions, when the greenhouse-emission hypothesis is probably wrong and not even properly understood? the house might not even be burning, or the house is burning due to many other reasons, and the action-plan recommended by climate scientists is to order a truckload of sand to be transported and thrown over the fire (may work, probably will not, and will cost a large amount of time, money, resources that could have been spent elsewhere)]
for instance, is it a worthwhile trade off to delay the lifting of hundreds of millions of people living in poverty, in order to introduce the measures required to cut down on greenhouse emissions, when the greenhouse-emission hypothesis is probably wrong and not even properly understood? the house might not even be burning, or the house is burning due to many other reasons, and the action-plan recommended by climate scientists is to order a truckload of sand to be transported and thrown over the fire (may work, probably will not, and will cost a large amount of time, money, resources that could have been spent elsewhere)]
...........
Soh Wei Yu
“The Trump administration did not offer this dire forecast as an argument to combat climate change.
The analysis assumes the planet’s fate is already sealed.”
The analysis assumes the planet’s fate is already sealed.”
· Reply ·
Soh Wei Yu " And they are already scared and in denial so you scaring the crap out of them only puts them farther in denial."
Actually, scaring the crap out of them by presenting them with facts (we're not trying to deceive anyone but simply showing the true picture) - such as pictures on cigarette boxes of blackened lungs, diseased organs and so on, actually do (scientifically proven) reduce smoking. Which is why smoking rates have decreased by so much (from maybe half the population to less than 1/5) over the years..
Actually, scaring the crap out of them by presenting them with facts (we're not trying to deceive anyone but simply showing the true picture) - such as pictures on cigarette boxes of blackened lungs, diseased organs and so on, actually do (scientifically proven) reduce smoking. Which is why smoking rates have decreased by so much (from maybe half the population to less than 1/5) over the years..
Angelo Gerangelo You
make a good point. Yes education has worked (in the past many people
genuinely didn’t know smoking was bad fir you it was hidden by industry)
I’m talking about on a personal level with trying to convince people
who already know and are in fear. This is what I think drives denyers
if global climate change as well as of course greed motivation etc .
Angelo Gerangelo Yes it has started to sink in and more and more people and organizations including some oil companies are getting on board.
Soh Wei Yu Actually
I do agree that understanding others' perspective is very important.
This is where the Spiral Dynamics makes a lot of sense. Trump is coming
from a Red (egocentric), Blue (ethnocentric/mythic-literal) and Orange
(rational-scientific) perspective. The whole Republican Party's level of
consciousness lies in the spectrum between Blue and Orange. The
Democractic party's spectrum lies between Orange and Green
(worldcentric/egalitarian-minded/post-modern). None of them has a higher
integral level like Yellow, which is why they are unable to accommodate
a wider range of views and see how they can fit together in a coherent
whole.
In order to process and accept scientific facts, you have to be at Orange. If you are strongly at Blue or lower, you will have a hard time accepting scientific facts. You might be more interested in conspiracies. You will prefer fairytales like the world was created 6000 years ago (a literal interpretation of stories in scriptural texts as truth rather than metaphors). A deep fear or resistance towards facts, science, usually comes from a level lower than Orange. "Ethnocentric" also imply you might have attachment to racism, nationalism, or other group-identities, including religious fanaticism.
But even if you are strongly Orange, it does not translate into environmental concern.. why? Orange is primarily achievement oriented. This is why Trump, a billionaire businessman, places importance on the immediate and individualistic profits and benefits of businesses over long term welfare of humanity or the world. Which is why his administration is starting to accept global warming science (Trump used to be a denialist) which is an improvement but at the same time, they are still fixated on short term achievements and profits. It's only when you rise to the level of green that you start to take a longer term perspective and your area of concern expands to include things like the environment, welfare of masses, human rights (or even animal rights), etc. Trump is deeply anti-green, reversing or demolishing many of the green laws and policies. Pro-business is good but I think having an unhealthy anti-green obsession is no good, IMO. (That said, Green also has its own problems and pathologies)
In order to process and accept scientific facts, you have to be at Orange. If you are strongly at Blue or lower, you will have a hard time accepting scientific facts. You might be more interested in conspiracies. You will prefer fairytales like the world was created 6000 years ago (a literal interpretation of stories in scriptural texts as truth rather than metaphors). A deep fear or resistance towards facts, science, usually comes from a level lower than Orange. "Ethnocentric" also imply you might have attachment to racism, nationalism, or other group-identities, including religious fanaticism.
But even if you are strongly Orange, it does not translate into environmental concern.. why? Orange is primarily achievement oriented. This is why Trump, a billionaire businessman, places importance on the immediate and individualistic profits and benefits of businesses over long term welfare of humanity or the world. Which is why his administration is starting to accept global warming science (Trump used to be a denialist) which is an improvement but at the same time, they are still fixated on short term achievements and profits. It's only when you rise to the level of green that you start to take a longer term perspective and your area of concern expands to include things like the environment, welfare of masses, human rights (or even animal rights), etc. Trump is deeply anti-green, reversing or demolishing many of the green laws and policies. Pro-business is good but I think having an unhealthy anti-green obsession is no good, IMO. (That said, Green also has its own problems and pathologies)
Angelo Gerangelo Anyways,
regardless of all that we’re discussion, to make any reasonable headway
what really has to happen is at a National/international policy level.
Specifically the US in China. The political climate here in the US
right now is more divided than I’ve ever
seen it. The mass spread of misinformation on every issue is very
concerning. There are still many people I know personally who staunchly
disbelieve in global warming. I’m genuinely not sure what could make
such a shift that the US would meaningfully move in that direction.
· Reply ·
Angelo Gerangelo Soh Wei Yu
that’s really interesting I want to read up on it. Yes a few people I
know who are staunchly conservative I used to argue with and it would
get heated quickly so I’d back off. Once I started just fully accepting
them and their points of view I noticed some very surprising shifts
actually.
· Reply ·
Soh Wei Yu Angelo Gerangelo Maybe read Ken Wilber's books. Also Actualized.org has very good videos on Spiral Dynamics -- I watched all of them
Manage
dailyevolver.com
Write a reply...
Soh Wei Yu https://m.france24.com/.../20180930-un-report-confronts... "I don't think 2C is safe, and I would never want to argue it," said Frumhoff. "By many measures, 1.5C is not enough."
"But while we might call 2C an upper bound, let's not pretend that we're on a 2C path -- we are way above that," he told AFP.
Even taking into account voluntary national pledges to cut greenhouse gas emissions, submitted in annex to the Paris treaty, the Earth is on track to heat up by an unliveable 3.5C or more by century's end.
"If we want to save ourselves from the disasters that are looming, we only have unrealistic options left," said Kaisa Kosonen, Greenpeace IPPC campaign lead.
"We have to try to make the impossible possible."
Manage"But while we might call 2C an upper bound, let's not pretend that we're on a 2C path -- we are way above that," he told AFP.
Even taking into account voluntary national pledges to cut greenhouse gas emissions, submitted in annex to the Paris treaty, the Earth is on track to heat up by an unliveable 3.5C or more by century's end.
"If we want to save ourselves from the disasters that are looming, we only have unrealistic options left," said Kaisa Kosonen, Greenpeace IPPC campaign lead.
"We have to try to make the impossible possible."
· Reply ·
Soh Wei Yu: What do you think about the?
Comments
Soh Wei Yu This topic was just posted one day ago on reddit r/climate_science:
https://www.reddit.com/.../will_civilization_utterly.../…See More
Managehttps://www.reddit.com/.../will_civilization_utterly.../…See More
Kathy Gilligan Thanks, Soh Wei Yu.
A lot to dig into. Like a diagnosis in which you’re told you have 10
months to live, except that it is not just you, but everyone you know
and everyone you don’t know. Every sentient being. What a time to be
alive.
Soh Wei Yu Except
nobody really knows how it will all play out or the exact timeframe.
But day by day, the likelihood that the entire planet is going into a
catastrophic mode within 10-15 years becomes clearer (due to the blue
ocean event). Life will be much more
difficult, lots of people will die, especially for the poorer countries
(but all will be affected). But that in itself is insufficient to cause
the extinction of our species unless it triggers the tipping points
which could raise our temperatures from 2c warming up to 6c. So, will we
go extinct in 10 years? Not likely, but I expect that within 20 years,
scientists will try desperate and risky methods like releasing aerosols
to artificially induce global dimming -- a geoengineering attempt to
alter the climate of the world. If this works out, we can possibly delay
our extinction for a while, but it doesn't really solve the issue. They
all know that our planet will trigger many tipping points beyond 2c
warming (or possibly even before that) resulting in a 'hothouse earth',
which translates to the extinction of most or almost all species,
including ourselves. That's why geoengineering will become inevitable as
the planet warms towards 2c.
Soh Wei Yu Solving
it will require 100% transition to clean energies (we are so far from
that) and the development of large scale sequestration technologies
(currently a sci-fi fantasy). Is it possible? Maybe. It is likely to
happen? I don't think so. Should we still try our best? Of course.
===================
https://www.youtube.com/watch?time_continue=411&v=uzCxFPzdO0Y
Shed A Light: Rupert Read – This civilisation is finished: so what is to be done?
level 1
Summary of points?
Talk at Cambridge University, November 2018
Civilization has 3 possible paths to take in the near future:
- Courageous radical transformation in extremely brief span of time, a transformation the like of which humanity has never before undergone. If this succeeds, this civilization will be finished, because the changes will be so radical. This would involve local food production, etc. Extremely unlikely, but we should try. Speaker urges people to rebel to prevent extinction.
- Collapse followed by possible human survival, e.g. 1000 people in Antarctica. This life raft scenario is fraught with difficult ethical problems (how do we choose who survives), but we need to start talking about enabling this outcome since this is likely our best option if scenario 1 eludes us, which it in all likelihood will.
- Collapse followed by human extinction and possible the extinction of much of complex life. This scenario is likely if we don't take a hard look at reality and try to aim for scenarios 1 or 2. This is the "Guy McPherson" outcome. Speaker mentions threat of raging nuclear fires devastating the biosphere, the potential for the atmosphere and oceans being so severely damaged that there is no biosphere remaining.
Some
topics addressed: the fact that many in the audience feel that collapse
is likely and not too far off, yet no one talks about it publicly.
Many of us are harboring this awareness privately but it is not a topic
of public conversation. This needs to change. Speaker mentions how we
can begin to broach the topic in our own social sphere. There is talk
that everyone should be voting green because we are in such an emergency
that there is no time to dither around with other political parties,
approaches. Potential for fast political revolution, especially if
climate catastrophes mount. Discussion that logically we should be
rebelling and acknowledgement of how difficult it is to do. Mention of a
movement in the U.K. to foment climate rebellion.
Another
topic broached is that we need to control the population of the
developed world. Immigration should be discouraged since it is
incompatible with reducing the ecologic impact of developed economies.
England should aim for food self-sufficiency. How will England be able
to justify the import of food if large portions of the world population
are starving?
Mention
that collapse is already happening in poorer communities in England and
the United States. Outlook for Africa and the Middle East is bleak and
collapse can already be seen in there as well.
Basically
the speaker is encouraging us to take an unflinching look at the
catastrophic problems we are facing and to be begin speaking amongst
ourselves about that reality and to consider our options realistically.
=========
=========
- Soh Wei Yu Lucky I am not emotionally affected by these articles as I have little emotions lol
- Tan Jui Horng I'm sure cockroaches will still be left though :P
- Soh Wei Yu Humans don’t understand dependent arising. They just blindly follow habitual impulses like craving. In this sense we (homosapien sapiens) are no different from other animal species but with our added prowess of intelligence contributing to our self destruction and destruction of biosphere. Rather that treating the environment as the conditions inseparable from us, that nourish and sustains us and are to be protected for the well being of all, they are merely seen as a resource separate from ourselves, to be exploited, developed and consumed. If more people awaken to no self and dependent arising then there will be more hope but I think it’s too late
Just saw stian post this recently. It is quite apt and relevant.
...
I just had a weird one. It has faded a bit, but I’ll tell as best I can.
At home we use an organic bin for food scraps and such. As you may know this bin sometimes starts to give growth to various organisms.
In the past I’ve reflected on my responsibility for these small living things. Sometimes I’ve felt slight endearment by adding things to the bin that I realize will feed and sustain these small creatures—things I don’t need but which they will cherish. Sometimes I’ve felt slight guilt at cutting off their livelihood, either by adding things to the bin that I know will have a detrimental effect for them, or by emptying out the bin.
Sometimes when I’m about to put something into the bin, I realize that right now there likely isn’t much life in there, but that what I’m about to put in the bin will be a catalyst for life.
To be frank, I’ve almost felt fatherly. Never of course attached to these creatures, but yet responsible for important factors in their brief existence.
And something hit me just now, as I approached the bin.
I don’t actually make these creatures at all. Conventionally speaking, they arise spontaneously. They arise from the conditions I create in the bin, but I really do not birth these creatures or own them.
Or rather... that is to say... that I birth these creatures just like my parents birthed me. That is to say... not at all.
My parents had no involvement in my birth, just like I don’t make or create these small creatures, instead they arise out of the right conditions. Neither do I own or father or preside over these creatures, any more than my parents are the lords or creators of my existence.
When my parents got pregnant, they could not and did not choose for those conditions to lead to my birth, nor could they choose for those conditions to not lead to my birth.
Just like the arising of the creatures in my bin is out of my hands, so too is my birth out of my parents or anyone else’s hands.
Who birthed me? Where do I come from?
No one birthed me—not in this way, anyway. Spontaneously arisen from conditions. Like maggots in the dirt. - Soh Wei Yu We do not "come into" this world; we come out of it, as leaves from a tree. As the ocean "waves," the universe "peoples." Every individual is an expression of the whole realm of nature, a unique action of the total universe. This fact is rarely, if ever, experienced by most individuals. Even those who know it to be true in theory do not sense or feel it, but continue to be aware of themselves as isolated "egos" inside bags of skin.
Alan W. Watts, The Book on the Taboo Against Knowing Who You Are
We don’t respect our environment, we destroy it… but, you know, exploiting and destroying your environment, polluting the water and the air and everything is just like destroying your own body. The environment is your body.
- Alan Watts
Just as no thing or organism exists on its own, it does not act on its own. Furthermore, every organism is a process: thus the organism is not other than its actions. To put it clumsily: it is what it does. More precisely, the organism, including its behavior, is a process which is to be understood only in relation to the larger and longer process of its environment. For what we mean by "understanding" or "comprehension" is seeing how parts fit into a whole, and then realizing that they don't compose the whole, as one assembles a jigsaw puzzle, but that the whole is a pattern, a complex wiggliness, which has no separate parts. Parts are fictions of language, of the calculus of looking at the world through a net which seems to chop it up into bits. Parts exist only for purposes of figuring and describing, and as we figure the world out we become confused if we do not remember this all the time.
p. 73
- Alan Watts - Reply
- 2d
- Edited
“They
say since 2005, the number of floods across the world has increased by
15 times, extreme temperature events by 20 times, and wildfires
seven-fold.”
And we are only at the beginning. It’s hard to imagine the apocalyptic state of the world in a few decades.
“The IPPR warns that the window of opportunity to avoid catastrophic outcomes is rapidly closing.”
And we are only at the beginning. It’s hard to imagine the apocalyptic state of the world in a few decades.
“The IPPR warns that the window of opportunity to avoid catastrophic outcomes is rapidly closing.”
theguardian.com
Plummeting insect numbers 'threaten collapse of nature'
Plummeting insect numbers 'threaten collapse of nature'
....
https://www.reuters.com/article/us-climatechange-temperatures/evidence-for-man-made-global-warming-hits-gold-standard-scientists-idUSKCN1QE1ZU?fbclid=IwAR2ouLXy3mPTmFUZZg6YzbsSowlEzr2DcCO8_ApKcTSiAUbSYwsd6wSXhwA
Evidence for man-made global warming hits 'gold standard': scientists
"Five-sigma level statistical confidence means the human cause of climate change is a virtual certainty."
....
- Soh Wei Yu Wouldn't shake the dogmatic half of the republicans though.
- Soh Wei Yu “Popper, Schumpeter, and Piaget show that we stunt our growth when we ignore disconfirming evidence or distort evidence in order to make it assimilate with our existing knowledge. Focusing on learning what we already we believe is like building a really skinny wall that will topple over as it gets larger.
On the other hand, we go through a growth spurt when we actively search for disconfirming evidence and allow accomodation to happen.“
-
https://medium.com/.../most-people-think-this-is-a-smart... - medium.comMost People Think This Is A Smart Habit, But It’s Actually Brain-DamagingMost People Think This Is A Smart Habit, But It’s Actually Brain-Damaging
- Soh Wei Yu Humans tend to overlook evidence that challenge their own beliefs and creates discomfort.
But I’m not like that. We should not be. We should learn to love challenging assumptions and look at the evidence. - Soh Wei Yu The hard truth - "This civilization is over...":
https://www.facebook.com/SoilLifeQuadra/posts/10156656875720199
Marc Doll
January 25 ·
I realize there is something I have known for some time but have never said, and, since I have just spent another 4 hours of my life in climate change academia I have to get this out of my system.
Please understand that many you reading this won't live to an old age... and likely will start scrolling after one or 2 more paragraphs... (edit...Ok I was wrong on this point. This is now my 2nd most shared post of all time..(edit)...make that my most shared)
The IPCC report and Paris accord are incredibly overly optimistic and that commits the world to a target that means the death of hundreds of millions if not more.
But it is worse than that.
Even the commitments made by countries in the Paris accord don't get us to a 2 degree world.
But it is worse than that.
The 2 degree target is now unattainable (unless of course the entirety of civilization does a 180 today...) and is based on geo-engineering the climate of the earth as well as the sequestering of every molecule of carbon we have produced since 1987, as well as every molecule we are producing today,as well as every molecule we produce tomorrow.... with magical technologies that don't exist, wont exist and, even if they did would likely cause as many if not more problems than they fix.
But it is worse than that.
The 2 degree target of the IPCC does not factor in the feedback loops such as the increase absorption of heat due to a drastic reduction in the albedo (reflectivity) effect caused by the 70% loss of arctic ice,..- the release of methane from a thawing arctic. (there is more energy stored in the arctic methane than there is in coal in the world). This is called the methane dragon. If the process of the release of the methane, currently frozen in the soil and ocean beds of the arctic, which may have already begun, but if it spins out of control we are looking a an 8 degree rise in temperature.
But it is worse than that.
The report which gives us 12 years to get our head's out of our arses underestimated the amount of heat stored in the world's oceans, as we descovered in mid-January by 40%... so no , we don't have 12 more years.
But it is worse than that.
The IPCC report ignores the effects of humans messing up the Nitrogen cycle through agricultural fertilizers and more... Don't go down this rabbit hole if you want to sleep at night.
But it is worse than that.
Sea level rise will not be gradual. Even assuming that the billions of tons of water that is currently being dumped down to the ground level of Greenland isn't creating a lubricant which eventually will allow the ice to free-flow into the northern oceans; it is only the friction to the islands surface that is currently holding the ice back. Then consider the same process is happening in Antarctica but is also coupled with the disappearance of the ice shelves which act as buttresses holding the glaciers from free flowing into the southern ocean. then factor in thermal expansions; the simple fact that warmer water takes up more space and It becomes clear that we are not looking at maintaining the current 3.4mm/yr increase in sea level rise (which incidentally is terrifying when you multiply it out over decades and centuries.) We will be looking at major calving events that will result in much bigger yearly increases coupled with an exponential increase in glacial melting. We know that every increase of 100ppm of C02 increases sea level by about 100 feet. We have already baked in 130 feet of sea level rise. It is just a question of how long it is going to take to get there... and then keep on rising..
But it is worse than that.
Insects are disappearing at 6 times the speed of larger animals and at a rate of about 2.5% of their biomass every year. These are our pollinators. These are links in our food chain. These represent the basic functioning of every terrestrial ecosystem.
But it is worse than that.
58% of the biomass of life on earth has been lost since 1970. That includes the insects above but also every other living thing on the planet.
But it is worse than that.
Drought in nearly every food producing place in the world is expected to intensify by mid-century and make them basically unusable by the end of the century... Then factor in the end of Phosphorus (China and Russia have already stopped exporting it knowing this) and the depletion of aquifers and you come to the conclusion that feeding the planet becomes impossible.
But it is worse than that.
We can no longer save the society that we live in and many of us are going to be dead long before our life expectancy would suggest.
If your idea of hope is having some slightly modified Standard of living going forward and live to ripe old age... there is no hope. This civilization is over... - Soh Wei Yu ..but there is hope..
There is a way for some to come through this and have an enjoyable life on the other side. Every day we delay can be measured in human lives. There will come a day of inaction when that number includes someone you love, yourself or myself.
So we have 2 options.
Wake the fuck up. If we do we will only have to experience the end of our society as we know it aka...the inevitable economic collapse which is now unavoidable, but be able to save and rebuild something new on the other side. This would require a deep adaptation. Words like sustainability would need to be seen as toxic and our focus needs be on regeneration. Regeneration of soil, forests, grasslands, oceans etc.... This is all possible.
Option 2 is the path we are on thinking that we can slowly adapt to change. This not only ensures we experience collapse but also condemns humanity to not just economic and social collapse but in a 4-6 or even an 8 degree world... extinction.
I am sick of pipeline discussions. I am sick of any argument that is predicated on the defeatist assumption that we will continue to burn oil at an ever increasing rate simply because it is what we have always done. Fact is if we do we are not just fucked, we are dead. I am sick of people who don't understand how their food is produced, and its effect on the climate.(both carnivores who eat feed-lot meat and vegans who eat industrially-produced-mono-cropped-veggies as they are equally guilty here. The consumption of either is devastating). I am sick of the tons of shinny new clothes people are wearing without realizing 1 Kg of cotton takes over 10 thousand Liters of water and incredible amounts of energy to produce. I am sickened by the amount of that same clothing hits the landfill in near new condition. I am sick of the argument that our oil is less poisonous than someone else's. Firstly, no it isn't and secondly, It doesn't fucking matter. I am sick of people that can't even handle the ridiculously-small, only-the-tip-of- the-iceberg-of-changes we need to accept; a carbon tax. I am sick of the fact that the political will seems only capable of focusing on the individual consumer through small measures like a carbon tax but no elected Party seems to have the fortitude to enact policies that take it to the small handful of companies that are responsible for 70% of our current C02 production. I am sick of my own hypocrisy that allows me to still use fossil fuels for transportation. I am sick of those who use hypocrisy as an argument against action. I am sick of the Leadership of my country that argues we can have economic growth and survivable environment... we can't. I am sickened by the normalizing of the leadership of our Southern neighbour who as the most polluting nation in the world officially ignores even the tragedy that is the Paris accord. I am sick of the politicians I worked to get elected being impotent on this subject. Naheed and Greg I'm looking at you. (BTW...Druh, you are an exception) I am sick that the next image I put up of my kids, cheese, pets or bread is going to gain immeasurably more attention than a post such as this which actually has meaning... I am sick about the fact that all the information I referenced here is easily discoverable in scientific journals through a simple google search but will be characterized by many as hyperbolic.
I am especially sick that my future and the future of my children is dependent on the dozens of people that saw this post, said there goes Marc off the deep end again and chose to remain ignorant of the basic facts about our near future.
There is a path forward.
But every day we delay the path forward includes fewer of us. Build community, build resilience, work for food security, think regeneration, plant food producing trees, think perennial food production, turn your waste products into resources, eat food that does not mine the soil and is locally produced, eat meat that is grass fed in a holistic or intensively rotated (ideally holistically grazed in a silvopasture ) that is used to provide nutrients to vegetation, get to know a farmer or become one yourself, park your car, do not vote for anyone who either ignores climate change or says we can have our cake and eat it too, quit your job if it is fossil fuel related (it is better than losing it... which you will), stop buying shit, stop buying expensive cars and overly large houses and then complain that local planet saving food costs more than Costco. Stop buying things that are designed to break and be disposed-of, let go of this society slowly and by your own volition (its better than being forced to do it quickly), Rip up your lawn and plant a garden with perennial veggies, fruit bushes, fruit trees and nut trees. Learn to compost your own poop (it is easy and doesn't stink). Buy an apple with a blemish, Get a smaller house on a bigger lot and regenerate that land, Plant a guerrilla garden on a city road allowance. Return to the multi-generational house, Realize that growth has only been a thing in human civilization for 250 years and it is about to end and make preparations for this change. Teach this to your children. Buy only the necessities, don't buy new clothes-go to the thrift store. Don't use single use plastic or if you do re-purpose it, Unplug your garberator and compost everything, Relearn old forgotten skills. Don't let yourself get away with the argument that the plane is going there anyway when you book a holiday. Understand that there is no such thing as the new normal because next year will be worse, Understand before you make the argument that we need to reduce human population ... meaning the population elsewhere... that it is not overpopulation in China or India that is causing the current problem... It is us and our "western" lifestyle, Understand that those that are currently arguing against refugees and climate change are both increasing the effects of climate change and causing millions on climate refugees... which will be arriving on Canada's doorstep because Canada, due to our size and Northern Latitude, will on the whole have some of the best climate refuges. Understand that the densification of cities is condemning those in that density to a food-less future. Stop tolerating the middle ground on climate change. there is no middle ground on gravity, the earth is round, and we are on the verge of collapse.
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At last check over 15000 shares. Thank you for reading.
Thanks to Dr. Eric Rignot, Rupert Read , Dr. Jim Anderson, everyone at Berkely Earth those that put keep C02.earth upto date and so many other climate scientists who's work have inspired this piece. Thanks as well to the 16 yr old Gretta Thunburg who gave me the courage to take what was in my head and put it to paper,. I encourage you to dig deep. Listen to talks where scientist are talking to scientists. They are less likely then to use the conservative filters they impose on themselves and you will get to the cutting edge.
*on a personal note, since I post about my children, I don't accept friend requests from people I haven't met. That said as of today, I have figured out how to enable the "follow" button on my account. I have been blown away by all the fantastic and heartfelt messages and commitments to change I have received due to this post and look forward to reading them.
